Geopolitics

    Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

    9% chance · down 3 pts today

    Yes9%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes11¢no fee
    No91%▲ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo93¢no fee
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $17.0K
    24h
    $0
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 4 markets

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. November 3024h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes9%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US11¢no fee
    No91%▲ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US93¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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