TRADING OPEN

    Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

    Resolves Oct 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $138.0K

    +$3.6K (24h)

    Active Markets

    20

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    92¢

    October 13

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    October 6

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    20 open
    #
    1
    October 13📈 Trending
    		92¢92¢
    $887+$292 24h
    		+4¢—
    2
    October 14📈 Trending
    		89¢89¢
    $1.9K+$474 24h
    		-2¢—
    3
    October 16
    		88¢88¢
    $625+$25 24h
    		-1¢—
    4
    October 25
    		87¢87¢
    $180
    		-3¢—
    5
    October 21
    		85¢85¢
    $642
    		-4¢—
    6
    October 15
    		82¢82¢
    $62.0K+$377 24h
    		-3¢—
    7
    October 20
    		82¢82¢
    $1.3K+$42 24h
    		-2¢—
    8
    October 18
    		82¢82¢
    $120
    		-2¢—
    9
    October 17
    		81¢81¢
    $1.7K+$381 24h
    		——
    10
    October 22
    		81¢81¢
    $1.5K+$5 24h
    		-2¢—
    11
    October 23
    		81¢81¢
    $1.0K
    		-3¢—
    12
    October 19
    		81¢81¢
    $5.3K+$555 24h
    		-2¢—
    13
    October 24
    		81¢81¢
    $1.6K
    		-4¢—
    14
    October 28
    		80¢80¢
    $2.5K+$20 24h
    		-2¢—
    15
    October 29
    		80¢80¢
    $2.1K+$21 24h
    		-1¢—
    16
    October 31
    		80¢80¢
    $2.7K+$20 24h
    		-4¢—
    17
    October 26
    		80¢80¢
    $633
    		——
    18
    October 27
    		76¢76¢
    $2.8K+$80 24h
    		-4¢—
    19
    October 30
    		75¢75¢
    $1.4K+$20 24h
    		-3¢—
    20
    October 6
    		22¢22¢
    $6.6K+$24 24h
    		-9¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1October 13
    92%
    92¢+4¢
    2October 14
    89%
    89¢-2¢
    3October 16
    88%
    88¢-1¢
    4October 25
    87%
    87¢-3¢
    5October 21
    85%
    85¢-4¢
    6October 15
    82%
    82¢-3¢
    7October 20
    82%
    82¢-2¢
    8October 18
    82%
    82¢-2¢
    9October 17
    81%
    81¢—
    10October 22
    81%
    81¢-2¢
    11October 23
    81%
    81¢-3¢
    12October 19
    81%
    81¢-2¢
    13October 24
    81%
    81¢-4¢
    14October 28
    80%
    80¢-2¢
    15October 29
    80%
    80¢-1¢
    16October 31
    80%
    80¢-4¢
    17October 26
    80%
    80¢—
    18October 27
    76%
    76¢-4¢
    19October 30
    75%
    75¢-3¢
    20October 6
    22%
    22¢-9¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 31, 2026

    ~20 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    30
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $138.0K

    Whale Activity

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