Geopolitics

    Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

    December 31 leads by 14 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. December 31#127%
    2. November 30#213%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $1.3M
    24h
    $34.3K
    Candidates
    2
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 3 markets

    Who’s winning

    • December 3127%
    • November 3013%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. December 3124h
      ▲ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    December 31$358.3K vol27%▲ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US27¢no fee
    November 30$345.0K vol13%▲ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US13¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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