US Election

    How much will be spent on political ads in the 2026 cycle?

    Above 11 billion dollars leads by 2 pts · 7 candidates at 5%+

    1. Above 11 billion dollars#198%
    2. Above 11.25 billion dollars#296%
    3. Above 11.5 billion dollars#396%
    #4 Above 11.75 billion dollars88%#5 Above 12 billion dollars63%+2 more
    Resolves
    Jan 31, 2027
    Volume
    $22.5K
    24h
    $5
    Candidates
    7
    kalshi1 venue · 7 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Above 11 billion dollars98%
    • Above 11.25 billion dollars96%
    • Above 11.5 billion dollars96%
    • Above 11.75 billion dollars88%
    • Above 12 billion dollars63%
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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Above 11.25 billion dollars24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Above 11.5 billion dollars24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Above 11.75 billion dollars24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Above 11 billion dollars$14.3K vol98%▼ 1kalshi99¢100¢ after fees
    Above 11.25 billion dollars$0 vol96%▼ 4kalshi99¢100¢ after fees
    Above 11.5 billion dollars$5.4K vol96%▼ 4kalshi99¢100¢ after fees
    Above 11.75 billion dollars$2.8K vol88%▼ 4kalshi92¢93¢ after fees
    Above 12 billion dollars$7 vol63%▼ 4kalshi67¢69¢ after fees
    Above 12.25 billion dollars$0 vol43%▼ 4kalshi47¢49¢ after fees
    Above 12.5 billion dollars$0 vol21%▼ 4kalshi25¢27¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, January 31, 2027
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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