TRADING OPEN

    How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $729.0K

    +$6.5K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    99¢

    Above 120

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +3¢

    Above 140

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    199¢99¢
    $41.5K
    ——
    2
    Above 140📈 Trending
    77¢77¢
    $90.0K+$973 24h
    +3¢—
    323¢23¢
    $22.6K+$574 24h
    +1¢—
    49¢9¢
    $46.5K+$2.1K 24h
    ——
    55¢5¢
    $179.6K+$205 24h
    ——
    64¢4¢
    $44.6K+$1.4K 24h
    ——
    74¢4¢
    $87.7K+$771 24h
    ——
    84¢4¢
    $131.1K+$500 24h
    -1¢—
    93¢3¢
    $32.9K
    ——
    102¢2¢
    $52.3K
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Above 120
    99%
    99¢—
    2Above 140
    77%
    77¢+3¢
    3Above 145
    23%
    23¢+1¢
    4Above 150
    9¢—
    5Above 160
    5¢—
    6Above 190
    4¢—
    7Above 170
    4¢—
    8Above 180
    4¢-1¢
    9Above 200
    3¢—
    10Above 210
    2¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~78 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $729.0K

    Whale Activity

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