Geopolitics

    How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?

    2–6s leads by 10 pts · 5 candidates at 5%+

    1. 2–6s#132%
    2. 6–10s#222%
    3. Photographed only#315%
    #4 No Handshake12%#5 <2s8%+2 more
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $16.5K
    24h
    $12.4K
    Candidates
    7
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 7 markets

    Who’s winning

    • 2–6s32%
    • 6–10s22%
    • Photographed only15%
    • No Handshake12%
    • <2s8%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    3 signals
    1. 2–6s24h
      ▼ 12¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Photographed only24h
      ▲ 6¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. 6–10s24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    2–6s$4.5K vol32%▼ 12Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US33¢no fee
    6–10s$3.7K vol22%▼ 5Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US23¢no fee
    Photographed only$1.4K vol15%▲ 6Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US16¢no fee
    No Handshake$2.3K vol12%▼ 5Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US13¢no fee
    <2s$2.3K vol8%▲ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢no fee
    10–15s$1.6K vol5%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢no fee
    15s+$835 vol1%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

    More in Geopolitics

    All Geopolitics