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    French Presidential Election First Round Winner

    A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

    Resolves Apr 18, 2027
    Total Volume

    $115.6K

    +$16.0K (24h)

    Active Markets

    17

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    86¢

    Marine Le Pen

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    17 markets
    #
    186¢86¢84¢
    $30.2K+$3.3K 24h
    —
    1¢
    26¢6¢2¢
    $8.5K+$2.0K 24h
    +4¢
    1¢
    35¢5¢5¢
    $14.8K+$4.6K 24h
    -5¢—
    43¢3¢4¢
    $11.3K+$1.7K 24h
    -2¢—
    52¢—2¢
    $2.1K
    ——
    61¢1¢4¢
    $13.0K+$1.3K 24h
    -1¢
    1¢
    71¢0¢2¢
    $4.5K
    —
    1¢
    81¢0¢2¢
    $3.6K
    —
    1¢
    91¢0¢2¢
    $4.0K
    —
    1¢
    101¢0¢2¢
    $4.2K
    —
    1¢
    111¢1¢2¢
    $6.4K+$2.1K 24h
    ——
    121¢1¢1¢
    $3.0K+$306 24h
    ——
    131¢1¢2¢
    $5.0K+$306 24h
    ——
    141¢1¢—
    $1.4K+$306 24h
    ——
    150¢0¢—
    $699
    ——
    160¢0¢1¢
    $2.4K
    ——
    170¢0¢—
    $719
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Marine Le Pen
    86%
    86¢—
    2Édouard Philippe
    6¢+4¢
    3Jean-Luc Mélenchon
    5¢-5¢
    4David Lisnard
    3¢-2¢
    5Jordan Bardella
    1¢-1¢
    6Dominique de Villepin
    1¢—
    7Gabriel Attal
    1¢—
    8Marine Tondelier
    1¢—
    9Éric Zemmour
    1¢—
    10Raphaël Glucksmann
    1¢—
    11Bruno Retailleau
    1¢—
    12François Ruffin
    1¢—
    13François Hollande
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Apr 18, 2027

    ~180 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    17
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $115.6K

    Whale Activity

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