EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by...?

    December 31, 2028 leads by 6 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. December 31, 2028#134%
    2. June 30, 2028#228%
    3. December 31, 2027#313%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2028
    Volume
    $15.2K
    24h
    $11.5K
    Candidates
    4
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 4 markets

    Who’s winning

    • December 31, 202834%
    • June 30, 202828%
    • December 31, 202713%
    • June 30, 20272%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. December 31, 202724h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. December 31, 202824h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. June 30, 202824h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    December 31, 2028$5.5K vol34%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US34¢35¢ after fees
    June 30, 2028$612 vol28%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US28¢29¢ after fees
    December 31, 2027$5.2K vol13%▼ 8Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US14¢14¢ after fees
    June 30, 2027$3.9K vol2%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢3¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, December 31, 2028
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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