Geopolitics

    Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

    By June 30, 2027 leads by 35 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. By June 30, 2027#140%
    2. December 31#25%
    Resolves
    Jul 14, 2027
    Volume
    $195.5K
    24h
    $100
    Liquidity
    $25.0K
    Candidates
    2
    Polymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 2 markets

    Who’s winning

    • By June 30, 202740%
    • December 315%
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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. By June 30, 202724h
      ▲ 8¢ in 24hPolymarket US

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    By June 30, 2027$0 vol40%▲ 8Polymarket US40¢fee unknown
    December 31$195.5K vol5%▲ 1Polymarket US7¢fee unknown

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Delcy Rodriguez Officially Out as Venezuela President?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Acting President Delcy Rodríguez ceases to be leader of Venezuela for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Delcy Rodríguez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes int…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Delcy Rodríguez ceases to be Acting President/leader of Venezuela for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Delcy Rodríguez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Delcy Rodríguez and the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, July 14, 2027
    Polymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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