TRADING OPEN

    Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

    Resolves Oct 25, 2026
    Total Volume

    $642.2K

    +$235.6K (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    42¢

    Iotova 10-20%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +19¢

    Iotova 10-20%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    1
    —
    Iotova 10-20% Hot
    		42¢42¢
    $44.2K+$30.3K 24h
    		+19¢—
    2
    —
    Iotova 20-30%📈 Trending
    		41¢41¢
    $39.1K+$23.8K 24h
    		——
    3
    —
    Gyurov 20-30% Hot
    		6¢6¢
    $234.4K+$59.0K 24h
    		-1¢—
    4
    —
    Iotova 40%+ Hot
    		5¢5¢
    $142.0K+$38.8K 24h
    		-6¢—
    5
    —
    Iotova 30-40% Hot
    		4¢4¢
    $35.1K+$16.9K 24h
    		-3¢—
    6
    —
    Iotova <10%📈 Trending
    		2¢2¢
    $31.9K+$16.9K 24h
    		-9¢—
    7
    —
    Gyurov 30%+ Hot
    		1¢1¢
    $86.0K+$37.6K 24h
    		-5¢—
    8
    —
    Gyurov 10-20% Hot
    		0¢0¢
    $13.2K+$4.0K 24h
    		-1¢—
    9
    —
    Gyurov <10%📈 Trending
    		0¢0¢
    $16.4K+$8.1K 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Iotova 10-20%
    42%
    42¢+19¢
    2Iotova 20-30%
    41%
    41¢—
    3Gyurov 20-30%
    6¢-1¢
    4Iotova 40%+
    5¢-6¢
    5Iotova 30-40%
    4¢-3¢
    6Iotova <10%
    2¢-9¢
    7Gyurov 30%+
    1¢-5¢
    8Gyurov 10-20%
    0¢-1¢
    9Gyurov <10%
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 25, 2026

    ~5 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $642.2K

    Whale Activity

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