TRADING OPEN

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Resolves Oct 25, 2026

More Geopolitics odds

Total Volume

$3.9M

+$584.8K (24h)

Active Markets

Across 1 platform

Frontrunner

41¢

Flávio Bolsonaro <4%

Biggest Mover 24h

-4¢

Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%

Arb Opportunities

None detected

All Markets

8 markets

#
1	Flávio Bolsonaro <4%	41¢	41¢	$536.2K+$56.5K 24h	+3¢	—
2	Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%	34¢	34¢	$652.0K+$147.7K 24h	-4¢	—
3	Lula da Silva <4%	19¢	19¢	$378.3K+$77.2K 24h	—	—
4	Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%	6¢	6¢	$991.8K+$76.6K 24h	-1¢	—
5	Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+	1¢	1¢	$534.3K+$64.4K 24h	-1¢	—
6	Lula da Silva 4-8%	1¢	1¢	$278.2K+$50.8K 24h	—	—
7	Lula da Silva 8-12%	0¢	0¢	$274.5K+$62.6K 24h	—	—
8	Lula da Silva 12%+	0¢	0¢	$223.9K+$48.9K 24h	—	—

Implied Probability

Consensus across platforms

1Flávio Bolsonaro <4%

41%

41¢+3¢

2Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%

34%

34¢-4¢

3Lula da Silva <4%

19%

19¢—

4Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%

6¢-1¢

5Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+

1¢-1¢

6Lula da Silva 4-8%

1¢—

7Lula da Silva 8-12%

0¢—

8Lula da Silva 12%+

0¢—

Event Info

Resolution Date

~Oct 25, 2026

~5 days remaining

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

All Markets

Implied Probability

Event Info

Whale Activity