TRADING OPEN

    Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?

    Resolves Oct 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $56.2K

    +$91 (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    61¢

    25-29

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    <20

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets
    #
    161¢61¢
    $18.5K
    ——
    225¢25¢
    $9.2K+$38 24h
    ——
    3
    20-24📈 Trending
    10¢10¢
    $12.5K+$53 24h
    -1¢—
    42¢2¢
    $9.4K
    -4¢—
    51¢1¢
    $6.5K
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    125-29
    61%
    61¢—
    230-34
    25%
    25¢—
    320-24
    10¢-1¢
    4<20
    2¢-4¢
    535+
    1¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 31, 2026

    ~11 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $56.2K

    Whale Activity

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