Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Before Jan 1, 2028 leads by 18 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+
- Before Jan 1, 2028#1Before Jan 1, 202846%▼ 4
- Before Jul 1, 2027#2Before Jul 1, 202728%▼ 4
Before Jan 1, 2027#3Before Jan 1, 20277%▲ 1
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2027
- Volume
- $285.7K
- 24h
- $1.6K
- Liquidity
- $22.6K
- Candidates
- 3
2 venues · 3 marketsWho’s winning
Top 3, each at its busiest venue- Before Jan 1, 202846%
- Before Jul 1, 202728%
- Before Jan 1, 20277%
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Signals
3 signals- Before Jan 1, 202824h▼ 4¢ in 24h
- Before Jul 1, 202724h▼ 4¢ in 24h
- Before Jan 1, 202724h4¢ apart across venues
Every candidate, every venue
2 venuesYes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.
Where venues disagree
Yes price- Before Jan 1, 20274¢buy
- Polymarket (global)
- Kalshi
- Consensus
Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.
Smart money
Biggest tradesLoading trades…
In the news
How each venue settles it
Kalshi
If Alexandre de Moraes leaves as Justice of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules on Kalshi ↗Polymarket (global)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resign…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Category
- Politics
- Resolves
- Fri, December 31, 2027
Compared across 2 venues