Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027?

    Before Jul 1, 2027 leads by 15 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. Before Jul 1, 2027#133%
    2. Before Apr 1, 2027#218%
    3. Before Jan 1, 2027#39%
    Resolves
    Jul 1, 2027
    Volume
    $606
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $2.8K
    Candidates
    3
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 3 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Before Jul 1, 202733%
    • Before Apr 1, 202718%
    • Before Jan 1, 20279%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Before Jul 1, 202724h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Before Jan 1, 202724h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Before Apr 1, 202724h
      6¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Before Jul 1, 2027$0 vol33%▼ 4kalshi37¢39¢ after fees
    Before Apr 1, 2027$551 vol · 6¢ apart18%▼ 2kalshi23¢25¢ after fees
    Before Jan 1, 2027$55 vol9%▼ 4kalshi12¢13¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Before Apr 1, 20276¢buy kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If a snap general election to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta is called after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Alberta between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Legislative Assembly of Albe…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Alberta between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta before the next scheduled general election. A dissolution of the Legislative Assembly by the Lieutenant Governor of Alberta, and any other means provided for by the laws of Alberta, all qualify. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the failure of coalition negotiations will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The election need not take place by the deadline. Once a qualifying election is formally ordered or scheduled, its subsequent cancellation or postponement will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Alberta and the Legislative Assembly of Alberta; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, July 1, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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