Science & Tech

    AI capability growth this year?

    At least 1550 score leads by 54 pts · 2 outcomes at 5%+

    1. At least 1550 score#160%
    2. At least 1600 score#26%
    3. At least 1650 score#33%
    #4 At least 1750 score3%#5 At least 1700 score2%
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2027
    Volume
    $257.4K
    24h
    $909
    Outcomes
    5
    kalshi1 venue · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • At least 1550 score60%
    • At least 1600 score6%
    • At least 1650 score3%
    • At least 1750 score3%
    • At least 1700 score2%
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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    At least 1550 score$79.4K vol60%▲ 1kalshi64¢66¢ after fees
    At least 1600 score$32.9K vol6%—kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    At least 1650 score$6.5K vol3%—kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    At least 1750 score$4.4K vol3%—kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    At least 1700 score$21.5K vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Fri, January 1, 2027
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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