LIVE

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Total Volume

$3.7M

+$19.7K (24h)

Active Markets

Across 1 platforms

Frontrunner

67¢

Exactly 0 cuts

Biggest Mover 24h

-2¢

Exactly 0 cuts

Arb Opportunities

None detected

All Markets

21 markets · Showing 8

#					24H
1	Exactly 0 cuts	67¢	68¢	$989.9K+$8.6K 24h	-2¢	—
2	Exactly 1 cut	17¢	17¢	$332.0K+$954 24h	—	—
3	Exactly 2 cuts	8¢	8¢	$340.9K+$645 24h	—	—
4	Exactly 3 cuts	2¢	3¢	$248.7K+$299 24h	—	—
5	Exactly 5 cuts	1¢	1¢	$164.2K+$788 24h	—	—
6	Exactly 4 cuts	1¢	2¢	$219.6K+$413 24h	—	—
7	Exactly 14 cuts	1¢	1¢	$201.9K	—	—
8	Exactly 6 cuts	1¢	1¢	$170.5K+$7.1K 24h	—	—

Implied Probability

Consensus across platforms

1Exactly 0 cuts

67%

67¢-2¢

2Exactly 1 cut

17%

17¢—

3Exactly 2 cuts

8¢—

4Exactly 3 cuts

2¢—

5Exactly 5 cuts

1¢—

6Exactly 4 cuts

1¢—

7Exactly 14 cuts

1¢—

8Exactly 6 cuts

1¢—

9Exactly 8 cuts

1¢—

10Exactly 7 cuts

1¢—

11Exactly 9 cuts

1¢—

12Exactly 10 cuts

0¢—

13Exactly 11 cuts

0¢—

14Exactly 13 cuts

0¢—

15Exactly 15 cuts

0¢—

16Exactly 12 cuts

0¢—

17Exactly 16 cuts

0¢—

18Exactly 17 cuts

0¢—

19Exactly 19 cuts

0¢—

20Exactly 18 cuts

0¢—

21Exactly 20 cuts

0¢—

Price History

Exactly 0 cutsExactly 1 cutExactly 2 cuts

Event Info

Resolution Date

~Jan 1, 2027

~231 days remaining

Whale Activity

Timeline

Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM
Price move: Yes price moved up by 12.5% in 24h
Exactly 14 cuts · Kalshi
Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM
Price move: Yes price moved up by 13.6% in 24h
Exactly 3 cuts · Kalshi
Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM
Price move: Yes price moved up by 50.0% in 24h
Exactly 4 cuts · Kalshi
Price MoveMay 15, 6:00 PM
Price move: Yes price moved up by 13.6% in 24h
Exactly 3 cuts · Kalshi
Price MoveMay 15, 6:00 PM
Price move: Yes price moved up by 12.5% in 24h
Exactly 14 cuts · Kalshi