Beta
    LIVE
    8s

    How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $26.6M

    +$329.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    13

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    67¢

    0 (0 bps)

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    0 (0 bps)

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    13 markets · Showing 8
    #24H
    1
    0 (0 bps)
    		67¢67¢
    $4.2M+$69.0K 24h
    		-5¢—
    2
    1 (25 bps)
    		16¢16¢
    $1.2M+$23.7K 24h
    		——
    3
    2 (50 bps)
    		6¢6¢
    $1.2M+$17.6K 24h
    		-1¢—
    4
    4 (100 bps)📈 Trending
    		2¢2¢
    $1.2M+$35.0K 24h
    		——
    5
    3 (75 bps)
    		2¢2¢
    $1.1M+$22.5K 24h
    		-2¢—
    6
    5 (125 bps)
    		1¢1¢
    $1.4M+$14.1K 24h
    		——
    7
    12+ (300+ bps)
    		1¢1¢
    $2.1M+$24.1K 24h
    		——
    8
    6 (150 bps)
    		1¢1¢
    $2.5M+$14.8K 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    10 (0 bps)
    67%
    67¢-5¢
    21 (25 bps)
    16%
    16¢—
    32 (50 bps)
    6¢-1¢
    44 (100 bps)
    2¢—
    53 (75 bps)
    2¢-2¢
    65 (125 bps)
    1¢—
    712+ (300+ bps)
    1¢—
    86 (150 bps)
    1¢—
    97 (175 bps)
    1¢—
    109 (225 bps)
    0¢—
    118 (200 bps)
    0¢—
    1210 (250 bps)
    0¢—
    1311 (275 bps)
    0¢—

    Price History

    012
    May 9 20:00May 10 23:00May 12 02:00May 13 05:00May 14 08:00May 15 19:530.0%20.0%40.0%79.2%

    Related reading

    External
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    1 minPreston Caldwell
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    1 minMatthew Benjamin
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    How Many Fed Rate Cuts Will We See in 2026? | Money

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    Economics

    Fed’s Deepening Split Clouds the Path for 2026 Rate Cuts

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    1 minSarah Foster January 26, 2026 10 min read
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    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~230 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    13
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $26.6M

    Whale Activity

    Whale

    bought $19K Yes on 0 (0 bps)

    polymarket · 11 days ago

    Whale

    sold $17K No on 0 (0 bps)

    polymarket · 2 months ago

    Whale

    sold $16K No on 0 (0 bps)

    polymarket · 2 months ago

    Whale

    bought $16K No on 0 (0 bps)

    polymarket · 2 months ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 14.3% in 24h

      2 (50 bps) · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 32.4% in 24h

      3 (75 bps) · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 7.2% in 24h

      0 (0 bps) · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 58.3% in 24h

      4 (100 bps) · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 14.3% in 24h

      6 (150 bps) · Polymarket