Beta
    LIVE
    8s

    Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

    Resolves Jan 20, 2029
    Total Volume

    $21.2M

    +$163.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    34¢

    Before Jan 20, 2029

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +2¢

    Before September 2026

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets · Showing 5
    #24H
    1
    Before Jan 20, 2029
    		34¢36¢
    $30.9K
    		——
    2
    Before 2028
    		28¢29¢
    $26.8K
    		-1¢—
    3
    Before 2027
    		18¢18¢
    $20.7M+$161.8K 24h
    		+1¢—
    4
    Before September 2026
    		9¢9¢
    $205.9K+$1.3K 24h
    		+2¢—
    5
    Before July 2026
    		4¢4¢
    $284.2K
    		+1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Before Jan 20, 2029
    34%
    34¢—
    2Before 2028
    28%
    28¢-1¢
    3Before 2027
    18%
    18¢+1¢
    4Before September 2026
    9¢+2¢
    5Before July 2026
    4¢+1¢

    Price History

    Before Jan 20, 2029Before 2028Before 2027Before September 2026
    May 13 20:59May 14 20:59May 15 20:54May 16 20:37May 17 23:59May 19 08:181.0%16.0%31.0%54.0%

    Related reading

    External
    Culture

    Why haven’t the government files on aliens and UFOs been released as Trump promised? | CNN

    1 minDanya Gainor
    Culture

    Trump says he will direct government agencies to release files related to UFOs and extraterrestrial life | CNN Politics

    1 minAileen Graef
    Culture

    Trump says he doesn't know if aliens are real but directs government to release files on UFOs : NPR

    1 minBy  The Associated Press
    Culture

    UFO documents released by Pentagon describe floating objects and flashes of light

    1 minUnknown
    Culture

    Trump says he's directing Pentagon to release any files on UFOs and "alien and extraterrestrial life" - CBS News

    1 minUnknown
    Culture

    UFO files released: Defense Department publishes trove of records : NPR

    1 minBy  Bill Chappell
    Culture

    Bright lights and hot orbs: UFO files shed light on sightings but leave interpretation to the public - The Washington Post

    1 minSeung Min Kim and Collin Binkley | AP
    Culture

    Trump releases UFO files in 'unprecedented transparency'

    1 minUnknown

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 20, 2029

    ~978 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $21.2M

    Whale Activity

    No whale trades detected yet

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 33.3% in 24h

      Before July 2026 · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 28.6% in 24h

      Before September 2026 · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 6.5% in 24h

      Before 2027 · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 5.9% in 24h

      Before Jan 20, 2029 · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 19, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 5.9% in 24h

      Before Jan 20, 2029 · Kalshi