Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

    Resolves Jan 20, 2029
    Total Volume

    $24.2M

    +$163.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    35¢

    Before Jan 20, 2029

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +2¢

    Before Jan 20, 2029

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets · Showing 5
    #
    135¢36¢
    $140.5K
    +2¢
    228¢28¢
    $103.7K
    +1¢
    317¢17¢
    $22.5M+$161.8K 24h
    4
    $589.8K+$1.3K 24h
    5
    $887.8K

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Before Jan 20, 2029
    35%
    35¢+2¢
    2Before 2028
    28%
    28¢+1¢
    3Before 2027
    17%
    17¢
    4Before September 2026
    5Before July 2026

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 20, 2029

    ~964 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $24.2M

    Whale Activity

    Whale

    sold $31K No on Before 2027

    kalshi · about 15 hours ago

    Whale

    sold $17K No on Before 2027

    kalshi · 13 days ago

    Whale

    sold $17K No on Before 2027

    kalshi · 13 days ago

    Whale

    sold $15K No on Before 2027

    kalshi · about 15 hours ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 9.1% in 24h

      Before Jan 20, 2029 · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 2, 6:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 7.4% in 24h

      Before 2028 · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 2, 5:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 7.4% in 24h

      Before 2028 · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 2, 4:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 7.4% in 24h

      Before 2028 · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 2, 3:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 7.4% in 24h

      Before 2028 · Kalshi