Prediction Market Insider-Trading Enforcement Tracker
Three regulatory tiers — exchange discipline, CFTC civil, DOJ criminal — across Kalshi and Polymarket. Seven tracked enforcement or discipline cases, a parallel suspicious-but-unindicted tier, and eight legislative entries.
Tracked case tier — 7 rows (cross-platform, cross-tier)
| Date | Platform | Subject | Tier | Outcome | Amount | Primary source |
|---|
Suspicious-but-unindicted tier
On-chain pattern evidence has surfaced these clusters; no charges have been filed. Presumption of innocence applies. Rows display a persistent "No charges filed — alleged only" badge.
| Date | Platform | Cluster | Alleged profit | Market context | Status |
|---|
Congressional response — 8 active bills
| Bill | Lead sponsor | Chamber | Status |
|---|
Source checks still pending
Verbatim quotes and primary-source URLs listed here are not yet cleared for stronger case-row treatment. Items marked as needing source review stay out of the tracked case tier.
Allegation status vs confirmed action
Enforcement rows should not flatten flagged, probed, referred, suspended/fined, and charged/ordered into one bucket. View the status-label receipt stack →
Related coverage
Employer election PM bans
Which county governments and banks have restricted employee use — and what it means for market quality.
Van Dyke / Maduro case explainer
First US criminal indictment for PM insider trading.
State Insider-Trading EOs (CA, IL, NY)
Parallel state-employee rail; 30-day blue-state trifecta.
CFTC enforcement primer
Section 6(c)(1), Regulation 180.1, and CEA §4c(a)(4).