Prediction Market Insider-Trading Enforcement Tracker

    Three regulatory tiers — exchange discipline, CFTC civil, DOJ criminal — across Kalshi and Polymarket. Seven tracked enforcement or discipline cases, a parallel suspicious-but-unindicted tier, and eight legislative entries.

    Tracked case tier — 7 rows (cross-platform, cross-tier)

    DatePlatformSubjectTierOutcomeAmountPrimary source

    Suspicious-but-unindicted tier

    On-chain pattern evidence has surfaced these clusters; no charges have been filed. Presumption of innocence applies. Rows display a persistent "No charges filed — alleged only" badge.

    DatePlatformClusterAlleged profitMarket contextStatus

    Congressional response — 8 active bills

    BillLead sponsorChamberStatus

    Source checks still pending

    Verbatim quotes and primary-source URLs listed here are not yet cleared for stronger case-row treatment. Items marked as needing source review stay out of the tracked case tier.

      Allegation status vs confirmed action

      Enforcement rows should not flatten flagged, probed, referred, suspended/fined, and charged/ordered into one bucket. View the status-label receipt stack →

      Related coverage

      Van Dyke / Maduro case explainer
      First US criminal indictment for PM insider trading.
      State Insider-Trading EOs (CA, IL, NY)
      Parallel state-employee rail; 30-day blue-state trifecta.
      CFTC enforcement primer
      Section 6(c)(1), Regulation 180.1, and CEA §4c(a)(4).
      Prediction Market Insider-Trading Enforcement… | PredictionMarkets.US