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    HomeLearnMichigan Prediction Markets: Kalshi TRO, Legal Status & What's Available 2026
    Regulation
    July 1, 20264 min

    Michigan Prediction Markets: Kalshi TRO, Legal Status & What's Available 2026

    A Michigan court order restricts Kalshi's operations through July 13, 2026. Here's the access picture and what comes next.

    Regulation/State Legal Status

    Michigan Prediction Markets — Legal Status

    A Michigan court issued a temporary order restricting Kalshi’s operation in the state in June 2026. Here’s the current access picture and what it means for Michigan residents.

    TRO ACTIVE

    Kalshi access restricted in Michigan — TRO through 2026-07-13

    Kalshi is implementing restrictions under the court order. Other platforms are not directly affected.

    What Happened

    Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel sought and received a temporary restraining order against Kalshi from Ingham County Circuit Court on June 29, 2026 — one day before Illinois’s SB 3019 took effect. The order requires Kalshi to restrict access for Michigan residents while the AG’s underlying case proceeds. Kalshi has indicated it is implementing the required restrictions while contesting the order.

    TRO Details

    Issuing Court

    Ingham County Circuit Court

    Issuing Authority

    Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel

    Judge

    Judge Rosemarie Aquilina, Ingham County Circuit Court

    Date Issued

    June 29, 2026

    TRO Duration

    14 days (through 2026-07-13)

    Non-Compliance Penalty

    $120000/day

    Michigan’s legal theory differs from Illinois’s legislative approach. Michigan AG Nessel is using existing consumer protection authority under the state’s Lawful Sports Betting Act to argue Kalshi is operating as an unlicensed sports betting platform. Kalshi and the CFTC argue that federal law under the Commodity Exchange Act gives the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over CFTC-regulated exchanges, preempting state gaming laws.

    What’s Still Available in Michigan

    The Kalshi TRO does not affect other CFTC-regulated platforms. Michigan residents can still access platforms not party to the court order. Confirm availability before trading — platform access can change.

    ForecastEx (IBKR)

    Not party to TRO — own CFTC DCM. Confirm at ibkr.com/predictions.

    Not affected

    FanDuel Predicts

    Not party to TRO — CME-based. Confirm at fanduel.com/predict.

    Not affected

    DraftKings DKeX

    Not party to TRO — own CFTC DCM. Confirm at draftkings.com/sports/event-trading.

    Not affected

    PredictIt

    Not party to TRO. Confirm at predictit.org.

    Not affected

    Polymarket

    US access invite-only; not party to this TRO. Confirm at polymarket.com.

    Confirm

    Robinhood Event Contracts

    Robinhood routes orders through Kalshi. Access may be affected — confirm at robinhood.com.

    Confirm

    What to Watch Next

    June 29, 2026

    TRO issued

    Ingham County Circuit Court issues 14-day TRO against Kalshi. Kalshi begins implementing restrictions for Michigan residents.

    July 13, 2026

    TRO expiry (unless extended)

    TRO expires after 14 days absent further court action.

    After July 13

    Three possible outcomes

    • TRO expires, no further order → Kalshi may resume Michigan operations
    • Court converts to preliminary injunction → longer-term restriction, no set expiry
    • Kalshi wins motion to dissolve → access restored

    This page updates when court rulings are confirmed via official Michigan court records. Confirm Kalshi access directly at Kalshi.com.

    Michigan’s Approach: Court Order vs. New Law

    Michigan was among the first states to take regulatory action against prediction markets in 2026 — filing suit against Kalshi in March 2026 under the state’s Lawful Sports Betting Act. That original suit set the stage for the June 29 TRO.

    Michigan’s strategy is distinct from Illinois’s: where Illinois passed SB 3019 (a new law effective July 1 imposing licensing and taxes), Michigan is using existing consumer protection authority to seek injunctive relief through the courts. The underlying legal question — whether the CFTC’s exclusive jurisdiction under the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gaming laws — is the same in both states.

    “Corporations cannot circumvent state gaming laws. My office will hold those who sidestep Michigan’s consumer protections accountable and ensure that betting in our state remains lawful, fair and subject to the oversight our residents expect and deserve.”
    — Michigan AG Dana Nessel, press statement, March 5, 2026 (Bridge Michigan)

    Frequently Asked Questions

    Related

    Illinois Prediction Markets

    SB 3019 in effect July 1 — companion state-blocking coverage.

    State Regulations Hub

    Full 50-state access grid and enforcement tracker.

    Are Prediction Markets Gambling?

    The legal debate at the heart of Michigan's case.

    Platform Partnerships

    How Robinhood, Coinbase, and others route through Kalshi.

    Sources

    • Michigan AG Nessel press statement — Bridge Michigan, March 5, 2026
    • Michigan sues Kalshi — Crain's Detroit, March 5, 2026
    • Reuters — Michigan TRO, June 29, 2026
    • CFTC — Reaffirms Exclusive Jurisdiction, April 24, 2026