TRADING OPEN

    2026: Trump's bad year? — Yes

    Volume

    $272.2K

    $22 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2027

    ~436 days left

    Category

    Politics

    6¢CHANCE OF YES5%95%
    Yes
    6¢
    Kalshi
    No
    96¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    6¢
    No
    96¢
    Vol
    $272.2K
    $22 24h
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

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    About This Market

    If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 6¢: exit costs ~0.36¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2027
    Time Left436 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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