2026: trumps bad year

    Yes

    2026: trumps bad year. Best Yes near 8¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 8¢ · Best No: 95¢ · 1 platform

    • Kalshi: Yes 8¢ / No 95¢
    TRADING OPEN

    Yes

    Volume

    $249.4K

    $23 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2027

    ~494 days left

    Category

    Politics

    8¢CHANCE OF YES8%92%
    Yes
    8¢
    Kalshi
    No
    95¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    8¢
    No
    95¢
    Vol
    $249.4K
    $23 24h
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

    Loading…

    About This Market

    If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 8¢: exit costs ~0.52¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2027
    Time Left494 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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