Will Trump issue dividend payments? — Before Jan 1, 2027

2% chance

Yes2%

Buy Yes2¢3¢ after fees

No98%

Buy No98¢99¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
Volume: $163.7K
24h: $2.7K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes2%—2¢

2¢3¢ after fees

No98%—98¢

98¢99¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 2¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes.

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Trump issue dividend payments?
Resolves: Fri, January 1, 2027