Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by...? — November 30

    1% chance

    Yes1%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes1¢no fee
    No99%—
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $8.5K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $8.3K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee
    No99%——

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Oleshky, Kherson Oblast, (46.617193° N, 32.722638° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (Story Map: https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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