Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by...?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by...? — December 31, 2027

17% chance

Yes17%

Buy Yes17¢no fee

No83%

Buy No84¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2027
Volume: $1.2K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $11.9K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes17%—17¢

17¢no fee

No84%—84¢

84¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 17¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, K…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by...?
Resolves: Fri, December 31, 2027