Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by...?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by...? — December 31, 2026

3% chance

Yes3%

Buy Yes4¢no fee

No97%

Buy No97¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $157.1K
24h: $25
Liquidity: $34.5K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes3%—4¢

4¢no fee

No97%—97¢

97¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 4¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, K…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026