Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...? — June 30, 2027

15% chance

Yes15%

Buy Yes19¢no fee

No85%

Buy No90¢no fee

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $431
24h: $0
Liquidity: $19.1K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes15%—19¢

19¢no fee

No86%—90¢

90¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. If such an agreemen…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027