Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...? — December 31, 2027

25% chance

Yes25%

Buy Yes35¢no fee

No75%

Buy No85¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2027
Volume: $185
24h: $15
Liquidity: $21.7K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes25%—35¢

35¢no fee

No75%—85¢

85¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 35¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. If such an agre…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
Resolves: Fri, December 31, 2027