June 30, 2026

    Volume

    $3.4M

    $3.5K 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolved

    ~0 days left

    Category

    Politics

    CHANCE OF YES1%99%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    99¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    No
    99¢
    Vol
    $3.4M
    $3.5K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:28

    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

    How This Resolves

    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PPolymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    No comments yet. Be the first to share your take!