Latvia Parliamentary Election: Which parties win seats? — Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS)

    Volume

    $2.8K

    $193 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Oct 3, 2026

    ~10 days left

    Arbitrage

    +48.0¢

    Spread detected

    CHANCE OF YES6%94%
    Yes
    Kalshi
    No
    49¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    3¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $2.6K
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    99¢
    No
    49¢
    Vol
    $193
    $193 24h

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    Price History

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    About This Market

    Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Latvian Saeima as a result of the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centrālā vēlēšanu komisija, CVK) (https://www.cvk.lv/).

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 99¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 3¢: exit costs ~0.2¢/contract
    Full calculator
    Arbitrage: +48.0¢ spread detected

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Oct 3, 2026
    Time Left10 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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