Texas Senate party winner?

    Ken Paxton (R)

    Texas Senate party winner?. Best Yes near 56¢ across 3 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 56¢ · Best No: 38¢ · 3 platforms

    • Polymarket: Yes 56¢ / No 45¢
    • PredictIt: Yes 63¢ / No 38¢
    • Kalshi: Yes 59¢ / No 42¢

    Ken Paxton (R)

    Volume

    $2.7M

    $61.7K 24h

    Platforms

    3

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 3, 2027

    ~505 days left

    Arbitrage

    +6.0¢

    Spread detected

    56¢CHANCE OF YES60%40%
    Yes
    56¢
    Polymarket
    No
    38¢
    PredictIt

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    3 platforms
    KalshiKalshi
    Yes
    59¢
    No
    42¢
    Vol
    $2.4M
    $60.9K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    56¢
    No
    45¢
    Vol
    $289.9K
    $807 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    PredictItPredictIt
    Best No
    Yes
    63¢
    No
    38¢
    Vol
    $0
    Trade on PredictIt

    Price History

    Loading…

    About This Market

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 56¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    PredictItPredictItat 63¢: exit costs ~6.3¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 59¢: exit costs ~1.69¢/contract
    Full calculator
    Arbitrage: +6.0¢ spread detected

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Nov 3, 2027
    Time Left505 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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