2028 Presidential Election: Michigan Winner — Republican Party

    30% chance · down 1 pts today

    Yes30%▼ 1Polymarket USYes33¢fee unknown
    No70%▲ 1Polymarket USNo68¢fee unknown
    Resolves
    Nov 7, 2028
    Volume
    $4.8K
    24h
    $135
    Liquidity
    $62.3K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 3 venues

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      5¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every venue’s price

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes30%▼ 1Polymarket US33¢fee unknown
    No71%▲ 1Polymarket US68¢fee unknown

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 30¢: exit costs ~0.84¢/contract
    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 33¢: Fees unavailable
    KalshiKalshiat 35¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the Republican Party wins the most electoral votes in Michigan in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate, or, in the case of an independent candidate, the named candidate, who wins the most valid statewide votes of any candidate in Michigan in the 2028 Presidential Election. A candidate will be considered to represent a party if they are the nominee of that party. A candidate…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    2028 Presidential Election: Michigan Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 7, 2028
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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