Beta
    LIVE

    Republican

    Volume

    $3.2M

    $3.7K 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    ~154 days left

    Arbitrage

    +8.0¢

    Spread detected

    20¢CHANCE OF YES22%78%
    Yes-1¢
    20¢
    Polymarket
    No+1¢
    72¢
    PredictIt

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    20¢
    No
    81¢
    Vol
    $3.2M
    $3.8K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    IPredictIt
    Best No
    Yes
    32¢
    No
    72¢
    Vol
    $0
    Trade on PredictIt

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:2815¢21¢27¢33¢39¢

    About This Market

    Which party will win the House in the 2026 election?

    How This Resolves

    IPredictIt

    Source: Official government sources, AP

    Rule: Resolves based on official results. PredictIt staff make final resolution determination.

    View rule How to verify
    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    View rule How to verify

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    IPredictItat 32¢: exit costs ~3.2¢/contract
    PPolymarketat 20¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

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    Arbitrage: +8.0¢ spread detected

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Nov 3, 2026
    Time Left154 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Related reading

    External
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    US House of Representatives 2026 forecast | The Economist

    1 minUnknown
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    2026 House Election Forecast Maps - 270toWin

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    Predictions for the House - 2026 Midterms - Updated Daily — Race to the WH

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    GOP Chances of Winning House After Supreme Court Voting Rights Act Move - Newsweek

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    United States House of Representatives elections, 2026 - Ballotpedia

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