OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Republican Wins

5% chance

Yes5%

Buy Yes9¢9¢ after fees

No95%

Buy No99¢99¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 3, 2026
Volume: $2.3K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $48

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes5%—9¢

9¢9¢ after fees

No95%—99¢

99¢99¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 9¢: exit costs ~0.31¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

The 2026 OR-04 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Resolves: Tue, November 3, 2026