NY-21 House Election Margin of Victory — Republican 15-18%

2% chance · down 2 pts today

Yes2%▼ 2

Buy Yes4¢fee unknown

No98%▲ 2—

Resolves: Nov 3, 2026
Volume: $1.1K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $2.1K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes2%▼ 23¢4¢

4¢fee unknown

No98%▲ 2––—

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

The 2026 NY-21 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate…

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Polymarket US

NY-21 House Election Margin of Victory

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: NY-21 House Election Margin of Victory
Resolves: Tue, November 3, 2026