Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season? — 60% or more

    14% chance

    Yes14%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes20¢21¢ after fees
    No86%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo93¢93¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Apr 30, 2027
    Volume
    $1.3K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $814
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes14%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US20¢21¢ after fees
    No87%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US93¢93¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 20¢: exit costs ~0.8¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market resolves based on the highest monthly S2+ drought area percentage recorded for the state of Minas Gerais across the 2026/27 coffee growing season. For the purpose of this market, the "2026/27 coffee growing season" is defined as the six-month window (September 2026 through February 2027) which corresponds to the flowering and bean-development period for arabica coffee in Minas Gerais. This is the crop-de…

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Fri, April 30, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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