Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?

Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season? — 5% to 19.99%

18% chance

Yes18%

Buy Yes24¢25¢ after fees

No82%

Buy No88¢89¢ after fees

Resolves: Apr 30, 2027
Volume: $2.7K
24h: $37
Liquidity: $692

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes18%—24¢

24¢25¢ after fees

No82%—88¢

88¢89¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 24¢: exit costs ~0.91¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market resolves based on the highest monthly S2+ drought area percentage recorded for the state of Minas Gerais across the 2026/27 coffee growing season. For the purpose of this market, the "2026/27 coffee growing season" is defined as the six-month window (September 2026 through February 2027) which corresponds to the flowering and bean-development period for arabica coffee in Minas Gerais. This is the crop-de…

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About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?
Resolves: Fri, April 30, 2027