Which coalition will form the next Israeli government? — L + Y + T + B

    4% chance

    Yes4%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes7¢no fee
    No96%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo99¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $2.8K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $1.5K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes4%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢no fee
    No96%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US99¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 7¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election. The government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., throu…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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