Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released on...? — November 15

    1% chance

    Yes1%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes1¢no fee
    No99%—
    Resolves
    Nov 15, 2026
    Volume
    $912
    24h
    $50
    Liquidity
    $3.0K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee
    No99%——

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, November 15, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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