Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Rank Debut?

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Rank Debut? — Top 3

39% chance

Yes39%

Buy Yes45¢no fee

No61%

Buy No67¢no fee

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $11.8K
24h: $1.7K
Liquidity: $691

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes39%—45¢

45¢no fee

No61%—67¢

67¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 45¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Anthropic Claude Fable model (5.2+) added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) holds a rank within the specified top ranks when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Rank Debut?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027