Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): HLE-Diamond Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): HLE-Diamond Debut? — 65%+

76% chance

Yes76%

Buy Yes77¢no fee

No24%

Buy No25¢no fee

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $12.0K
24h: $33
Liquidity: $1.8K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes76%—77¢

77¢no fee

No24%—25¢

25¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 77¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Anthropic Claude Opus model (5.6+) added to the Humanity's Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE-Diamond Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that include…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): HLE-Diamond Debut?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027