2028 Presidential Election: Iowa Winner — Democratic Party

    27% chance · down 2 pts today

    Yes27%▼ 2Polymarket USYes25¢fee unknown
    No73%▲ 2Polymarket USNo75¢fee unknown
    Resolves
    Nov 7, 2028
    Volume
    $6.3K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $62.5K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 3 venues

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      5¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes27%▼ 2Polymarket US25¢fee unknown
    No73%▲ 2Polymarket US75¢fee unknown

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 25¢: Fees unavailable
    KalshiKalshiat 28¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 30¢: exit costs ~0.84¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the Democratic Party wins the most electoral votes in Iowa in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate, or, in the case of an independent candidate, the named candidate, who wins the most valid statewide votes of any candidate in Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election. A candidate will be considered to represent a party if they are the nominee of that party. A candidate who…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    2028 Presidential Election: Iowa Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 7, 2028
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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