2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

    Democrats, 8 to 10%

    2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory. Best Yes near 23¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 23¢ · Best No: 74¢ · 2 platforms

    • Kalshi: Yes 27¢ / No 74¢
    • Polymarket: Yes 23¢ / No 78¢

    Democrats, 8 to 10%

    Volume

    $45.6K

    $141 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jun 30, 2027

    ~380 days left

    Category

    Politics

    23¢CHANCE OF YES24%76%
    Yes
    23¢
    Polymarket
    No
    74¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    KalshiKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    27¢
    No
    74¢
    Vol
    $39.7K
    $17 24h
    Trade on Kalshi
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    23¢
    No
    78¢
    Vol
    $5.9K
    $124 24h
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

    Loading…

    About This Market

    If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 8 and 10 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 27¢: exit costs ~1.38¢/contract
    PolymarketPolymarketat 23¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Jun 30, 2027
    Time Left380 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In