2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

    Democrats, 6 to 8%

    2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory. Best Yes near 20¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 20¢ · Best No: 78¢ · 2 platforms

    • Kalshi: Yes 23¢ / No 78¢
    • Polymarket: Yes 20¢ / No 81¢
    TRADING OPEN

    Democrats, 6 to 8%

    Volume

    $86.5K

    $32 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    ~70 days left

    Category

    Politics

    20¢CHANCE OF YES20%80%
    Yes
    20¢
    Polymarket
    No
    78¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    23¢
    No
    78¢
    Vol
    $72.3K
    $32 24h
    Trade on Kalshi
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    20¢
    No
    81¢
    Vol
    $14.2K
    Trade on Polymarket

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    Price History

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    About This Market

    If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 6 and 8 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 23¢: exit costs ~1.24¢/contract
    PolymarketPolymarketat 20¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Nov 3, 2026
    Time Left70 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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