2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

    Democrats, 2 to 4%

    2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory. Best Yes near 6¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 6¢ · Best No: 96¢ · 2 platforms

    • Kalshi: Yes 6¢ / No 95¢
    • Polymarket: Yes 7¢ / No 96¢

    Democrats, 2 to 4%

    Volume

    $110.1K

    $0 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    ~70 days left

    Category

    Politics

    CHANCE OF YES6%94%
    Yes
    Kalshi
    No
    96¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    6¢
    No
    95¢
    Vol
    $94.8K
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    7¢
    No
    96¢
    Vol
    $15.3K

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    Price History

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    About This Market

    If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 2 and 4 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 6¢: exit costs ~0.4¢/contract
    PolymarketPolymarketat 7¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Nov 3, 2026
    Time Left70 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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