2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Democrats, 2 to 4%
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory. Best Yes near 4¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.
Best Yes: 4¢ · Best No: 93¢ · 2 platforms
- Kalshi: Yes 4¢ / No 97¢
- Polymarket: Yes 7¢ / No 93¢
LIVE
Democrats, 2 to 4%
Volume
$38.7K
$1.6K 24h
Platforms
2
Cross-platform pricing
Resolution
Resolves Jun 30, 2027
~380 days left
Category
Politics
Yes
4¢
Kalshi
No
93¢
Polymarket
Opens on best-price platform
Compare & Trade
2 platformsPrice History
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About This Market
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 2 and 4 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Fee Impact at These Prices
Kalshiat 4¢: exit costs ~0.26¢/contract
Polymarketat 7¢: exit costs ~0¢/contractMarket Details
ResolutionResolves Jun 30, 2027
Time Left380 days
Status● Active
CategoryPolitics
Yes
4¢
Kalshi
Payout 26.3x
No
93¢
Polymarket
Payout 1.1x
Opens on best-price platform
Compare & Trade
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