2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Democrats, 16% and above
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory. Best Yes near 2¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.
Best Yes: 2¢ · Best No: 97¢ · 2 platforms
- Kalshi: Yes 4¢ / No 97¢
- Polymarket: Yes 2¢ / No 98¢
LIVE
Democrats, 16% and above
Volume
$18.0K
$61 24h
Platforms
2
Cross-platform pricing
Resolution
Resolves Jun 30, 2027
~380 days left
Category
Politics
Yes
2¢
Polymarket
No
97¢
Kalshi
Opens on best-price platform
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2 platformsPrice History
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About This Market
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 16 and 100 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Fee Impact at These Prices
Kalshiat 4¢: exit costs ~0.24¢/contract
Polymarketat 2¢: exit costs ~0¢/contractMarket Details
ResolutionResolves Jun 30, 2027
Time Left380 days
Status● Active
CategoryPolitics
Yes
2¢
Polymarket
Payout 47.6x
No
97¢
Kalshi
Payout 1.0x
Opens on best-price platform
Compare & Trade
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