2028 U.S. Senate winner? — Democratic

    89% chance

    Yes89%Polymarket USYes87¢fee unknown
    No11%kalshiNo11¢12¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Nov 7, 2028
    Volume
    $146.1K
    24h
    $4.0K
    Liquidity
    $80.5K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USpredictitListed on 4 venues

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      9¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USpredictit

    Every venue’s price

    4 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes89%—Polymarket US87¢fee unknown
    No11%—kalshi11¢12¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 87¢: Fees unavailable
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 89¢: exit costs ~0.39¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 90¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    PredictItPredictItat 96¢: Fees unavailable
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the Democratic party has won control of the Senate in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the 2028 United States general election. A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and wins the Vice Presidency in the 2028 Un…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    2028 U.S. Senate Election Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    predictitPredictIt

    Which party will control the US Senate after 2028?

    Full rules on PredictIt ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 7, 2028
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USpredictitCompared across 4 venues

    In the news

    Discussion

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    More in Politics

    All Politics