NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory — Democrat 65-70%

11% chance · down 10 pts today

Yes11%▼ 10

Buy Yes38¢fee unknown

No89%▲ 10

Buy No99¢fee unknown

Resolves: Nov 3, 2026
Volume: $860
24h: $0
Liquidity: $2.3K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
▼ 10¢ in 24h

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes11%▼ 103¢38¢

38¢fee unknown

No90%▲ 10–99¢

99¢fee unknown

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 3¢: exit costs ~0.11¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

The 2026 NY-05 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate…

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Polymarket US

NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Resolves: Tue, November 3, 2026