Which bills will become law in 2026?

    DEFIANCE Act

    Which bills will become law in 2026?. Best Yes near 43¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 43¢ · Best No: 77¢ · 2 platforms

    • Polymarket: Yes 72¢ / No 77¢
    • Kalshi: Yes 43¢ / No 58¢

    DEFIANCE Act

    Volume

    $7.1K

    $1 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~199 days left

    Category

    Politics

    43¢CHANCE OF YES36%64%
    Yes
    43¢
    Kalshi
    No
    77¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    KalshiKalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    43¢
    No
    58¢
    Vol
    $7.1K
    $1 24h
    Trade on Kalshi
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    72¢
    No
    77¢
    Vol
    $23
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

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    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that creates a federal civil lawsuit right for victims of intimate deepfakes is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the S. 1837 (119th) — “DEFIANCE Act of 2025.” Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 72¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 43¢: exit costs ~1.72¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left199 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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