TRADING OPEN

    Which bills will become law in 2026? — Critical-minerals stockpile

    Volume

    $17.1K

    $0 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    ~72 days left

    Category

    Politics

    9¢CHANCE OF YES9%91%
    Yes
    9¢
    Kalshi
    No
    91¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    9¢
    No
    92¢
    Vol
    $15.4K
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    12¢
    No
    91¢
    Vol
    $1.7K

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    Price History

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    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes H.R. 7126 (119th) — “To establish a Strategic Resilience Reserve of the United States…” Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 12¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 9¢: exit costs ~0.57¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Jan 1, 2027
    Time Left72 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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